July 23, 2021
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Maycee Barber | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 063 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Maycee Barber's 3-fight experience advantage (6 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Maycee Barber for the expected result. Had Miranda Maverick pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Maycee Barber | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 039 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Maycee Barber | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 143 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Maycee Barber receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Maycee Barber | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 111 | 143 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 82 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 076 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Miranda Maverick controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (82 vs 38 total strikes), significant strike advantage (47 vs 36). However, since Miranda Maverick lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Maycee Barber's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Maycee Barber | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:26 | 1:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 091 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Maycee Barber slightly outworked Miranda Maverick on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:26 of control time, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Maycee Barber | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 085 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -22 |
Maycee Barber demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Maycee Barber capitalized on this activity level, while Miranda Maverick's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Maycee Barber | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 054 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Maycee Barber started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Miranda Maverick is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Maycee Barber | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.