January 19, 2024
UFC Women's Bantamweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mayra Bueno Silva | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 085 | 1 222 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Raquel Pennington's 8-fight experience advantage (18 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Raquel Pennington for the expected result. Had Mayra Bueno Silva pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mayra Bueno Silva | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +47 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Raquel Pennington captured the UFC Women's Bantamweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Mayra Bueno Silva | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 181 | 1 327 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Raquel Pennington earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Mayra Bueno Silva | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 69 | 134 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 88 | 201 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 96 | 265 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 028 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Raquel Pennington dominated the striking exchanges with 265 vs 96 total strikes, 134 vs 69 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 78.4% accuracy. Raquel Pennington capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mayra Bueno Silva | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:58 | 11:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 42 |
| Ground ELO | 1 103 | 1 330 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Raquel Pennington controlled Mayra Bueno Silva on the ground with 1 takedown, 11:28 of control time, 42 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Mayra Bueno Silva | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 190 | 371 |
| Activity ELO | 1 098 | 1 277 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +11 |
Raquel Pennington demonstrated extended layoff with 371 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Raquel Pennington capitalized on this activity level, while Mayra Bueno Silva's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mayra Bueno Silva | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 060 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +34 |
Raquel Pennington continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Mayra Bueno Silva's now at 0.
| Metric | Mayra Bueno Silva | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.