October 4, 2019
Women's Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Megan Anderson | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 988 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Megan Anderson's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Megan Anderson for the expected result. Had Zarah Fairn pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Megan Anderson | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 007 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Megan Anderson | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:57 | 3:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 123 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -34 |
Megan Anderson earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:57, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Megan Anderson | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 018 | 953 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Megan Anderson edged the striking exchanges with 10 vs 2 significant strikes, 55.6% vs 40.0% accuracy. Megan Anderson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Megan Anderson | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:23 | 0:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 013 | 808 |
| ELO Change | +192 | -192 |
Megan Anderson dominated Zarah Fairn on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:23 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Megan Anderson | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 037 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -21 |
Megan Anderson demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Megan Anderson capitalized on this activity level, while Zarah Fairn's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Megan Anderson | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Megan Anderson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Zarah Fairn is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Megan Anderson | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Featherweight | Women's Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.