May 17, 2024
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Melissa Gatto | Tamires Vidal |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 068 | 955 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Melissa Gatto's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Melissa Gatto for the expected result. Had Tamires Vidal pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Melissa Gatto | Tamires Vidal |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Melissa Gatto | Tamires Vidal |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:37 | 0:37 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 149 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -41 |
Melissa Gatto gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Melissa Gatto | Tamires Vidal |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 52 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 120 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 148 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Melissa Gatto dominated the striking exchanges with 120 vs 50 total strikes, 30 vs 15 significant strikes. Melissa Gatto capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Melissa Gatto | Tamires Vidal |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:58 | 0:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 015 | 858 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -77 |
Melissa Gatto controlled Tamires Vidal on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 6:58 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Melissa Gatto | Tamires Vidal |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 322 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 1 045 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Melissa Gatto demonstrated standard activity with 322 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Melissa Gatto capitalized on this activity level, while Tamires Vidal's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Melissa Gatto | Tamires Vidal |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 029 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Melissa Gatto started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tamires Vidal is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Melissa Gatto | Tamires Vidal |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.