May 6, 2022
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Melissa Gatto | Tracy Cortez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 078 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Melissa Gatto | Tracy Cortez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Melissa Gatto | Tracy Cortez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 078 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Tracy Cortez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Melissa Gatto | Tracy Cortez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 73 | 66 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 116 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Tracy Cortez edged the striking exchanges with 70 vs 49 total strikes, 36 vs 30 significant strikes, 54.5% vs 41.1% accuracy. Tracy Cortez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Melissa Gatto | Tracy Cortez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:17 | 7:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 20 |
| Ground ELO | 1 010 | 1 244 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Tracy Cortez controlled Melissa Gatto on the ground with 2 takedowns, 7:54 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Melissa Gatto | Tracy Cortez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 385 |
| Activity ELO | 1 046 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +19 |
Tracy Cortez demonstrated extended layoff with 385 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Tracy Cortez capitalized on this activity level, while Melissa Gatto's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Melissa Gatto | Tracy Cortez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +28 |
Tracy Cortez extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Melissa Gatto is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Melissa Gatto | Tracy Cortez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.