April 5, 2024
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Melissa Mullins | Nora Cornolle |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 061 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Melissa Mullins | Nora Cornolle |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Melissa Mullins | Nora Cornolle |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:06 | 3:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 011 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +88 |
Nora Cornolle gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Melissa Mullins | Nora Cornolle |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 24 | 51 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 60 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 913 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -118 | +118 |
Nora Cornolle controlled the striking exchanges with 60 vs 13 total strikes, 36 vs 11 significant strikes, 70.6% vs 45.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Nora Cornolle capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Melissa Mullins | Nora Cornolle |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:20 | 0:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 036 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Nora Cornolle landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Melissa Mullins | Nora Cornolle |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 217 |
| Activity ELO | 1 002 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Nora Cornolle demonstrated standard activity with 217 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nora Cornolle capitalized on this activity level, while Melissa Mullins's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Melissa Mullins | Nora Cornolle |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Nora Cornolle extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Melissa Mullins is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Melissa Mullins | Nora Cornolle |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.