Melquizael Costa vs Morgan Charriere

December 13, 2025

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1206
(+37)
Melquizael Costa
Winner: Melquizael Costa
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:14

C-ELO Evolution

Melquizael Costa+37
Morgan Charriere-29
1060
(-29)
Morgan Charriere

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Melquizael Costa: +20Morgan Charriere: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricMelquizael CostaMorgan Charriere
Total UFC Fights86
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 2141 044
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Melquizael Costa's 2-fight experience advantage (8 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Melquizael Costa for the expected result. Had Morgan Charriere pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Melquizael Costa: +18Morgan Charriere: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricMelquizael CostaMorgan Charriere
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0921 009
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Melquizael Costa: +89Morgan Charriere: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricMelquizael CostaMorgan Charriere
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:141:14
Win Type ELO1 3491 183
ELO Change+89-37
💡

What Happened

Melquizael Costa earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:14, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Melquizael Costa: +94Morgan Charriere: -94

Performance Statistics

MetricMelquizael CostaMorgan Charriere
Significant Strikes Landed42
Significant Strikes Attempted94
Total Strikes Landed42
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 2641 045
ELO Change+94-94
💡

What Happened

Melquizael Costa controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Melquizael Costa capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Melquizael Costa: +17Morgan Charriere: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricMelquizael CostaMorgan Charriere
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:020:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1961 095
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Melquizael Costa: +13Morgan Charriere: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricMelquizael CostaMorgan Charriere
Days Since Last Fight210154
Activity ELO1 3041 079
ELO Change+13-10
💡

What Happened

Melquizael Costa demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Melquizael Costa capitalized on this activity level, while Morgan Charriere's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Melquizael Costa: +32Morgan Charriere: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricMelquizael CostaMorgan Charriere
Win Streak50
Win Streak ELO1 1391 019
ELO Change+32-17
💡

What Happened

Melquizael Costa continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Morgan Charriere's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Melquizael Costa: +18Morgan Charriere: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricMelquizael CostaMorgan Charriere
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0921 009
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.