Melquizael Costa vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

June 14, 2024

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1036
(+50)
Melquizael Costa
Winner: Melquizael Costa
Submission
Round 3 • 1:50

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Melquizael Costa+50
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke-45
1005
(-45)
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Melquizael Costa: +41Shayilan Nuerdanbieke: -36

Performance Statistics

MetricMelquizael CostaShayilan Nuerdanbieke
Total UFC Fights46
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0331 005
ELO Change+41-36
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What Happened

Melquizael Costa overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Shayilan Nuerdanbieke.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Melquizael Costa: +23Shayilan Nuerdanbieke: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricMelquizael CostaShayilan Nuerdanbieke
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 006990
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Melquizael Costa: +79Shayilan Nuerdanbieke: -53

Performance Statistics

MetricMelquizael CostaShayilan Nuerdanbieke
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round33
Time of Finish1:501:50
Win Type ELO1 0841 041
ELO Change+79-53
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What Happened

Melquizael Costa earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:50, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Shayilan Nuerdanbieke was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Melquizael Costa: +66Shayilan Nuerdanbieke: -66

Performance Statistics

MetricMelquizael CostaShayilan Nuerdanbieke
Significant Strikes Landed166
Significant Strikes Attempted358
Total Strikes Landed7620
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0481 007
ELO Change+66-66
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What Happened

Melquizael Costa dominated the striking exchanges with 76 vs 20 total strikes, 16 vs 6 significant strikes, 45.7% vs 75.0% accuracy. Melquizael Costa capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Melquizael Costa: +111Shayilan Nuerdanbieke: -111

Performance Statistics

MetricMelquizael CostaShayilan Nuerdanbieke
Takedowns Landed24
Takedowns Attempted210
Ground Control Time3:006:26
Ground Strikes Landed30
Ground ELO1 059978
ELO Change+111-111
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What Happened

Melquizael Costa controlled Shayilan Nuerdanbieke on the ground with 2 takedowns, 3:00 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Melquizael Costa: +29Shayilan Nuerdanbieke: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricMelquizael CostaShayilan Nuerdanbieke
Days Since Last Fight189434
Activity ELO1 0371 025
ELO Change+29-23
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What Happened

Melquizael Costa demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Melquizael Costa capitalized on this activity level, while Shayilan Nuerdanbieke's 434-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Melquizael Costa: +26Shayilan Nuerdanbieke: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricMelquizael CostaShayilan Nuerdanbieke
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 0151 004
ELO Change+26-23
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What Happened

Melquizael Costa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shayilan Nuerdanbieke is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Melquizael Costa: +23Shayilan Nuerdanbieke: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricMelquizael CostaShayilan Nuerdanbieke
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 006990
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.