June 14, 2024
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Melquizael Costa | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 033 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -36 |
Melquizael Costa overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Shayilan Nuerdanbieke.
| Metric | Melquizael Costa | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Melquizael Costa | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:50 | 1:50 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 084 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -53 |
Melquizael Costa earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:50, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Shayilan Nuerdanbieke was submitted.
| Metric | Melquizael Costa | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 8 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 76 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 048 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -66 |
Melquizael Costa dominated the striking exchanges with 76 vs 20 total strikes, 16 vs 6 significant strikes, 45.7% vs 75.0% accuracy. Melquizael Costa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Melquizael Costa | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:00 | 6:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 059 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +111 | -111 |
Melquizael Costa controlled Shayilan Nuerdanbieke on the ground with 2 takedowns, 3:00 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Melquizael Costa | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 434 |
| Activity ELO | 1 037 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -23 |
Melquizael Costa demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Melquizael Costa capitalized on this activity level, while Shayilan Nuerdanbieke's 434-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Melquizael Costa | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 015 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -23 |
Melquizael Costa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shayilan Nuerdanbieke is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Melquizael Costa | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 006 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

