Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Tucker Lutz

July 14, 2023

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1064
(+24)
Melsik Baghdasaryan
Winner: Melsik Baghdasaryan
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Melsik Baghdasaryan+24
Tucker Lutz-21
953
(-21)
Tucker Lutz

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Melsik Baghdasaryan: +31Tucker Lutz: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMelsik BaghdasaryanTucker Lutz
Total UFC Fights44
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 050991
ELO Change+31-21
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Melsik Baghdasaryan: +19Tucker Lutz: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricMelsik BaghdasaryanTucker Lutz
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 038959
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Melsik Baghdasaryan: +32Tucker Lutz: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricMelsik BaghdasaryanTucker Lutz
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 097951
ELO Change+32-32
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What Happened

Melsik Baghdasaryan earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Melsik Baghdasaryan: +21Tucker Lutz: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMelsik BaghdasaryanTucker Lutz
Significant Strikes Landed6436
Significant Strikes Attempted108109
Total Strikes Landed7441
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 125917
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Melsik Baghdasaryan controlled the striking exchanges with 74 vs 41 total strikes, 64 vs 36 significant strikes, 59.3% vs 33.0% accuracy. Melsik Baghdasaryan capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Melsik Baghdasaryan: +21Tucker Lutz: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMelsik BaghdasaryanTucker Lutz
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted09
Ground Control Time0:426:19
Ground Strikes Landed30
Ground ELO1 039915
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Melsik Baghdasaryan did not secure a significant ground advantage against Tucker Lutz on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:42 of control time, 3 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Melsik Baghdasaryan: +30Tucker Lutz: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricMelsik BaghdasaryanTucker Lutz
Days Since Last Fight154112
Activity ELO1 077969
ELO Change+30-17
💡

What Happened

Melsik Baghdasaryan demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Melsik Baghdasaryan capitalized on this activity level, while Tucker Lutz's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Melsik Baghdasaryan: +20Tucker Lutz: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricMelsik BaghdasaryanTucker Lutz
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 045964
ELO Change+20-18
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What Happened

Melsik Baghdasaryan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tucker Lutz is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Melsik Baghdasaryan: +19Tucker Lutz: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricMelsik BaghdasaryanTucker Lutz
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 038959
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.