December 28, 2007
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Melvin Guillard | Rich Clementi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 011 | 993 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +39 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Melvin Guillard | Rich Clementi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 994 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Melvin Guillard | Rich Clementi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:40 | 4:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 054 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +79 |
Rich Clementi earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:40, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Melvin Guillard | Rich Clementi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 096 | 978 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Rich Clementi slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 66.7% vs 27.8% accuracy. Rich Clementi capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Melvin Guillard | Rich Clementi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:28 | 1:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 925 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -95 | +95 |
Rich Clementi controlled Melvin Guillard on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 1:48 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Melvin Guillard | Rich Clementi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 269 | 99 |
| Activity ELO | 1 045 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +55 |
Rich Clementi demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rich Clementi capitalized on this activity level, while Melvin Guillard's 269-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Melvin Guillard | Rich Clementi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Rich Clementi extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Melvin Guillard is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Melvin Guillard | Rich Clementi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 994 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

