Melvin Guillard vs Rick Davis

May 26, 2006

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1042
(+46)
Melvin Guillard
Winner: Melvin Guillard
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:37

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Melvin Guillard+46
Rick Davis-35
965
(-35)
Rick Davis

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Melvin Guillard: +32Rick Davis: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricMelvin GuillardRick Davis
Total UFC Fights31
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 029968
ELO Change+32-32
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What Happened

Melvin Guillard's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Melvin Guillard for the expected result. Had Rick Davis pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Melvin Guillard: +21Rick Davis: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMelvin GuillardRick Davis
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 018979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Melvin Guillard: +108Rick Davis: -45

Performance Statistics

MetricMelvin GuillardRick Davis
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:371:37
Win Type ELO1 083955
ELO Change+108-45
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What Happened

Melvin Guillard earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:37, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Melvin Guillard: +98Rick Davis: -98

Performance Statistics

MetricMelvin GuillardRick Davis
Significant Strikes Landed105
Significant Strikes Attempted2810
Total Strikes Landed105
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 116902
ELO Change+98-98
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What Happened

Melvin Guillard controlled the striking exchanges with 10 vs 5 significant strikes, 35.7% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Melvin Guillard capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Melvin Guillard: +22Rick Davis: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricMelvin GuillardRick Davis
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:020:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 013978
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Melvin Guillard: +42Rick Davis: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMelvin GuillardRick Davis
Days Since Last Fight131N/A
Activity ELO1 039979
ELO Change+42-21
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What Happened

Melvin Guillard demonstrated solid activity levels with 131 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Melvin Guillard capitalized on this activity level, while Rick Davis's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Melvin Guillard: +23Rick Davis: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMelvin GuillardRick Davis
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 022979
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Melvin Guillard started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rick Davis is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Melvin Guillard: +21Rick Davis: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMelvin GuillardRick Davis
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 018979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.