February 5, 2010
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Melvin Guillard | Ronys Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 073 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Melvin Guillard's 9-fight experience advantage (10 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Melvin Guillard for the expected result. Had Ronys Torres pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Melvin Guillard | Ronys Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 037 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Melvin Guillard | Ronys Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 152 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Melvin Guillard earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Melvin Guillard | Ronys Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 81 | 49 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 233 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Melvin Guillard controlled the striking exchanges with 34 vs 6 significant strikes, 42.0% vs 12.2% accuracy. Melvin Guillard capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Melvin Guillard | Ronys Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 13 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:36 | 5:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 988 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Melvin Guillard did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ronys Torres on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:36 of control time, 8 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Melvin Guillard | Ronys Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 144 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 112 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -16 |
Melvin Guillard demonstrated solid activity levels with 144 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Melvin Guillard capitalized on this activity level, while Ronys Torres's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Melvin Guillard | Ronys Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 054 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Melvin Guillard started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ronys Torres is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Melvin Guillard | Ronys Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 037 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.