June 7, 2025
UFC Bantamweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Merab Dvalishvili | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 417 | 1 316 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (15 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Merab Dvalishvili | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 366 | 1 246 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -18 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Merab Dvalishvili captured the UFC Bantamweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Merab Dvalishvili | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:42 | 4:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 622 | 1 476 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -35 |
Merab Dvalishvili earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:42, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Sean O'Malley was submitted.
| Metric | Merab Dvalishvili | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 52 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 115 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 141 | 38 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 618 | 1 493 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Merab Dvalishvili dominated the striking exchanges with 141 vs 38 total strikes, 52 vs 31 significant strikes, 45.2% vs 54.4% accuracy. Merab Dvalishvili capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Merab Dvalishvili | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:29 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 709 | 1 239 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Merab Dvalishvili dominated Sean O'Malley on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 6:29 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Merab Dvalishvili | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 267 |
| Activity ELO | 1 411 | 1 295 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -17 |
Merab Dvalishvili demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Merab Dvalishvili capitalized on this activity level, while Sean O'Malley's 267-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Merab Dvalishvili | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 13 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 595 | 1 224 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -6 |
Merab Dvalishvili extended his incredible 13-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while Sean O'Malley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Merab Dvalishvili | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 239 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.