January 18, 2025
UFC Bantamweight Title Bout
Title Fight
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Merab Dvalishvili | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 390 | 1 230 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Merab Dvalishvili's 7-fight experience advantage (14 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Merab Dvalishvili for the expected result. Had Umar Nurmagomedov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Merab Dvalishvili | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 312 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -13 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Merab Dvalishvili captured the UFC Bantamweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Merab Dvalishvili | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 569 | 1 350 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Merab Dvalishvili earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Merab Dvalishvili | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 111 | 104 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 259 | 237 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 142 | 113 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 578 | 1 420 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Merab Dvalishvili edged the striking exchanges with 142 vs 113 total strikes, 111 vs 104 significant strikes. Merab Dvalishvili capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Merab Dvalishvili | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 7 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 30 | 15 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:22 | 1:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 673 | 1 403 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Merab Dvalishvili dominated Umar Nurmagomedov on the ground with 7 vs 2 takedowns, 2:22 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Merab Dvalishvili | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 377 | 1 189 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -12 |
Merab Dvalishvili demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Merab Dvalishvili capitalized on this activity level, while Umar Nurmagomedov's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Merab Dvalishvili | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 12 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 547 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -6 |
Merab Dvalishvili extended his incredible 12-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while Umar Nurmagomedov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Merab Dvalishvili | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 222 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.