Michael Bisping vs Rashad Evans

November 16, 2007

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1120
(-22)
Michael Bisping
Winner: Rashad Evans
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Michael Bisping-22
Rashad Evans+24
1228
(+24)
Rashad Evans

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Bisping: -28Rashad Evans: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael BispingRashad Evans
Total UFC Fights57
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0881 183
ELO Change-28+28
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What Happened

Rashad Evans's 2-fight experience advantage (7 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rashad Evans for the expected result. Had Michael Bisping pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Bisping: -19Rashad Evans: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael BispingRashad Evans
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0591 129
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Bisping: -10Rashad Evans: +10

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael BispingRashad Evans
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2131 252
ELO Change-10+10
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Rashad Evans receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Bisping: -19Rashad Evans: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael BispingRashad Evans
Significant Strikes Landed4023
Significant Strikes Attempted9687
Total Strikes Landed5238
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2341 307
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

Michael Bisping controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (40 vs 23), superior accuracy (41.7% vs 26.4%). However, since Michael Bisping lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rashad Evans's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Bisping: -51Rashad Evans: +51

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael BispingRashad Evans
Takedowns Landed26
Takedowns Attempted216
Ground Control Time0:347:42
Ground Strikes Landed04
Ground ELO1 1131 411
ELO Change-51+51
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What Happened

Rashad Evans dominated Michael Bisping on the ground with 6 vs 2 takedowns, 7:42 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Bisping: -15Rashad Evans: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael BispingRashad Evans
Days Since Last Fight71134
Activity ELO1 1141 263
ELO Change-15+30
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What Happened

Rashad Evans demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rashad Evans capitalized on this activity level, while Michael Bisping's 71-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Bisping: -18Rashad Evans: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael BispingRashad Evans
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0791 159
ELO Change-18+20
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What Happened

Rashad Evans started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michael Bisping is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Bisping: -19Rashad Evans: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael BispingRashad Evans
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0591 123
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.