July 17, 2015
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Michael Bisping | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 24 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 201 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Michael Bisping's 10-fight experience advantage (24 vs 14 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michael Bisping for the expected result. Had Thales Leites pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Michael Bisping | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 142 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Michael Bisping | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 372 | 1 402 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Michael Bisping receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Michael Bisping | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 115 | 79 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 277 | 194 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 117 | 80 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 349 | 1 315 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Michael Bisping controlled the striking exchanges with 117 vs 80 total strikes, 115 vs 79 significant strikes. Michael Bisping capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Michael Bisping | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:35 | 0:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 119 | 1 338 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Michael Bisping did not secure a significant ground advantage against Thales Leites on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:35 of control time, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Michael Bisping | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 84 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 371 | 1 278 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -20 |
Michael Bisping demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Michael Bisping capitalized on this activity level, while Thales Leites's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Michael Bisping | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 179 | 1 177 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -24 |
Michael Bisping extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thales Leites is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Michael Bisping | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 135 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

