January 18, 2013
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Michael Bisping | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 157 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (18 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Michael Bisping | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 118 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Michael Bisping | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:27 | 1:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 350 | 1 542 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +62 |
Vitor Belfort gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Michael Bisping | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 66 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 323 | 1 489 |
| ELO Change | -102 | +102 |
Vitor Belfort controlled the striking exchanges with 34.0% vs 21.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Vitor Belfort capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Michael Bisping | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 185 | 1 288 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Vitor Belfort landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Michael Bisping | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 120 |
| Activity ELO | 1 276 | 1 353 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +40 |
Vitor Belfort demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Vitor Belfort capitalized on this activity level, while Michael Bisping's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Michael Bisping | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 146 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Vitor Belfort started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michael Bisping is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Michael Bisping | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 111 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.

