January 19, 2021
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Michael Chiesa | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 24 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 351 | 1 252 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -30 |
Michael Chiesa overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (15 vs 24 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Neil Magny.
| Metric | Michael Chiesa | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 159 | 1 172 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Michael Chiesa | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 471 | 1 441 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Michael Chiesa earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Michael Chiesa | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 52 | 50 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 93 | 52 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 288 | 1 344 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Michael Chiesa controlled the striking exchanges with 93 vs 52 total strikes, 24 vs 12 significant strikes, 46.2% vs 24.0% accuracy. Michael Chiesa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Michael Chiesa | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 15:21 | 2:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 559 | 1 353 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -93 |
Michael Chiesa dominated Neil Magny on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 15:21 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Michael Chiesa | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 361 | 145 |
| Activity ELO | 1 319 | 1 467 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Michael Chiesa demonstrated standard activity with 361 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Michael Chiesa capitalized on this activity level, while Neil Magny's 145-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Michael Chiesa | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 219 | 1 246 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -26 |
Michael Chiesa extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Neil Magny is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Michael Chiesa | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 151 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.