November 19, 2021
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Michael Chiesa | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 275 | 1 297 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +71 |
Sean Brady overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Michael Chiesa.
| Metric | Michael Chiesa | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 115 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Michael Chiesa | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 377 | 1 311 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
Sean Brady earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Michael Chiesa | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 57 | 42 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 71 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 249 | 1 248 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Michael Chiesa controlled the striking through superior volume (71 vs 51 total strikes), significant strike advantage (29 vs 18). However, since Michael Chiesa lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Sean Brady's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Michael Chiesa | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:53 | 7:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 412 | 1 490 |
| ELO Change | -84 | +84 |
Sean Brady controlled Michael Chiesa on the ground with 5 vs 1 takedowns, 7:45 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Michael Chiesa | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 259 |
| Activity ELO | 1 271 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +38 |
Sean Brady demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sean Brady capitalized on this activity level, while Michael Chiesa's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Michael Chiesa | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 174 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +50 |
Sean Brady continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Michael Chiesa's now at 0.
| Metric | Michael Chiesa | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 108 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.