July 11, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Michael Graves | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Michael Graves | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Michael Graves | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 042 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Michael Graves earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Michael Graves | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 45 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 022 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Michael Graves slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 60.0% vs 49.1% accuracy. Michael Graves capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Michael Graves | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:57 | 3:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 075 | 925 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Michael Graves controlled Vicente Luque on the ground with 7 vs 0 takedowns, 8:57 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Michael Graves | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Michael Graves demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Michael Graves capitalized on this activity level, while Vicente Luque's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Michael Graves | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Michael Graves started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vicente Luque is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Michael Graves | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.