Michael Johnson vs Ottman Azaitar

December 14, 2024

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1110
(+33)
Michael Johnson
Winner: Michael Johnson
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 2:03

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Michael Johnson+33
Ottman Azaitar-29
983
(-29)
Ottman Azaitar

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: +32Ottman Azaitar: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonOttman Azaitar
Total UFC Fights295
Experience Gap24-24
Experience ELO1 051993
ELO Change+32-32
💡

What Happened

Michael Johnson's 24-fight experience advantage (29 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michael Johnson for the expected result. Had Ottman Azaitar pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: +21Ottman Azaitar: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonOttman Azaitar
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 023976
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: +61Ottman Azaitar: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonOttman Azaitar
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:032:03
Win Type ELO1 2731 079
ELO Change+61-30
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What Happened

Michael Johnson gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: +59Ottman Azaitar: -59

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonOttman Azaitar
Significant Strikes Landed1916
Significant Strikes Attempted5056
Total Strikes Landed1920
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 158928
ELO Change+59-59
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What Happened

Michael Johnson controlled the striking exchanges with 38.0% vs 28.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Michael Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: +38Ottman Azaitar: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonOttman Azaitar
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:120:00
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 123945
ELO Change+38-38
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What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: +12Ottman Azaitar: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonOttman Azaitar
Days Since Last Fight309519
Activity ELO1 167985
ELO Change+12-12
💡

What Happened

Michael Johnson demonstrated standard activity with 309 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Michael Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Ottman Azaitar's 519-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: +22Ottman Azaitar: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonOttman Azaitar
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 064983
ELO Change+22-19
💡

What Happened

Michael Johnson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ottman Azaitar is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: +21Ottman Azaitar: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonOttman Azaitar
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 023976
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.