Michael Johnson vs Paul Sass

September 30, 2011

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

992
(-26)
Michael Johnson
Winner: Paul Sass
Submission
Round 1 • 3:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Michael Johnson-26
Paul Sass+31
1062
(+31)
Paul Sass

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: -27Paul Sass: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonPaul Sass
Total UFC Fights32
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO9851 088
ELO Change-27+29
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: -20Paul Sass: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonPaul Sass
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 040
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: -42Paul Sass: +73

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonPaul Sass
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:003:00
Win Type ELO1 0171 133
ELO Change-42+73
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What Happened

Paul Sass earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:00, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: -24Paul Sass: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonPaul Sass
Significant Strikes Landed82
Significant Strikes Attempted2616
Total Strikes Landed92
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0511 042
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

Michael Johnson controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (8 vs 2), superior accuracy (30.8% vs 12.5%). However, since Michael Johnson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Paul Sass's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: -37Paul Sass: +37

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonPaul Sass
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted03
Ground Control Time0:370:05
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO9481 063
ELO Change-37+37
💡

What Happened

Paul Sass edged out Michael Johnson on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: -20Paul Sass: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonPaul Sass
Days Since Last Fight97350
Activity ELO9871 040
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

Paul Sass demonstrated standard activity with 350 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Paul Sass capitalized on this activity level, while Michael Johnson's 97-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: -20Paul Sass: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonPaul Sass
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9831 046
ELO Change-20+24
💡

What Happened

Paul Sass extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michael Johnson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: -20Paul Sass: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonPaul Sass
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 040
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.