October 25, 2019
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Michael Johnson | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 21 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 012 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +42 |
Stevie Ray overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 21 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Michael Johnson.
| Metric | Michael Johnson | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 010 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Michael Johnson | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Majority | Decision - Majority |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 209 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
The Decision - Majority showed mixed judging, with Stevie Ray earning reduced bonuses for the unclear victory margin.
| Metric | Michael Johnson | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 78 | 85 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 173 | 188 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 104 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 123 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Stevie Ray edged the striking exchanges with 104 vs 81 total strikes, 85 vs 78 significant strikes. Stevie Ray capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Michael Johnson | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 28 |
| Ground ELO | 1 022 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -78 | +78 |
Stevie Ray controlled Michael Johnson on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:54 of control time, 28 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Michael Johnson | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 173 | 1 243 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +41 |
Stevie Ray demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Stevie Ray capitalized on this activity level, while Michael Johnson's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Michael Johnson | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Stevie Ray started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michael Johnson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Michael Johnson | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 010 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.