Michael Johnson vs Tony Ferguson

May 4, 2012

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1065
(+45)
Michael Johnson
Winner: Michael Johnson
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Michael Johnson+45
Tony Ferguson-38
1078
(-38)
Tony Ferguson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: +40Tony Ferguson: -40

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonTony Ferguson
Total UFC Fights54
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO1 0611 077
ELO Change+40-40
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: +25Tony Ferguson: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonTony Ferguson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0271 037
ELO Change+25-25
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: +54Tony Ferguson: -54

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonTony Ferguson
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1171 111
ELO Change+54-54
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What Happened

Michael Johnson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: +81Tony Ferguson: -81

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonTony Ferguson
Significant Strikes Landed6745
Significant Strikes Attempted183176
Total Strikes Landed6745
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 1511 086
ELO Change+81-81
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What Happened

Michael Johnson controlled the striking exchanges with 67 vs 45 total strikes, 67 vs 45 significant strikes, 36.6% vs 25.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Michael Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: +30Tony Ferguson: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonTony Ferguson
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted21
Ground Control Time0:010:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9981 091
ELO Change+30-30
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What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: +71Tony Ferguson: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonTony Ferguson
Days Since Last Fight98154
Activity ELO1 1011 129
ELO Change+71-28
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What Happened

Michael Johnson demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Michael Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Tony Ferguson's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: +30Tony Ferguson: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonTony Ferguson
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 0371 054
ELO Change+30-25
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What Happened

Michael Johnson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tony Ferguson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Michael Johnson: +25Tony Ferguson: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricMichael JohnsonTony Ferguson
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0271 037
ELO Change+25-25
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.