April 5, 2013
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Michael Kuiper | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 984 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Tom Lawlor's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tom Lawlor for the expected result. Had Michael Kuiper pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Michael Kuiper | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Michael Kuiper | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:05 | 1:05 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 038 | 1 241 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +41 |
Tom Lawlor earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:05, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Michael Kuiper was submitted.
| Metric | Michael Kuiper | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 049 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Michael Kuiper controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (14 vs 7). However, since Michael Kuiper lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Tom Lawlor's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Michael Kuiper | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:10 | 2:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 934 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Tom Lawlor edged out Michael Kuiper on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:50 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Michael Kuiper | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 991 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +35 |
Tom Lawlor demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tom Lawlor capitalized on this activity level, while Michael Kuiper's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Michael Kuiper | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +23 |
Tom Lawlor started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michael Kuiper is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Michael Kuiper | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

