February 15, 2013
UFC Interim Bantamweight Title Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Michael McDonald | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 088 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Michael McDonald | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 058 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Michael McDonald | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 4 | 4 |
| Time of Finish | 3:57 | 3:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 166 | 1 250 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +69 |
Renan Barao earned a finish with a Submission in round 4 at 3:57, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Michael McDonald was submitted.
| Metric | Michael McDonald | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 92 | 112 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 43 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 207 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Renan Barao edged the striking exchanges with 36 vs 26 significant strikes. Renan Barao capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Michael McDonald | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 039 | 1 350 |
| ELO Change | -137 | +137 |
Renan Barao dominated Michael McDonald on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 3:58 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Michael McDonald | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 302 | 211 |
| Activity ELO | 1 120 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Renan Barao demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Renan Barao capitalized on this activity level, while Michael McDonald's 302-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Michael McDonald | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 076 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +40 |
Renan Barao continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Michael McDonald's now at 0.
| Metric | Michael McDonald | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 058 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.