August 23, 2024
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Michael Morales | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 33 |
| Experience Gap | -28 | 28 |
| Experience ELO | 1 339 | 1 230 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -33 |
Michael Morales overcame a 28-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 33 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Neil Magny.
| Metric | Michael Morales | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 114 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Michael Morales | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:39 | 4:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 409 | 1 367 |
| ELO Change | +125 | -58 |
Michael Morales earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:39, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Michael Morales | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 40 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 436 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | +147 | -147 |
Michael Morales controlled the striking exchanges with 39 vs 13 total strikes, 34 vs 5 significant strikes, 85.0% vs 45.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Michael Morales capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Michael Morales | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:16 | 2:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 30 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 205 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -83 |
Michael Morales controlled Neil Magny on the ground with 1:16 of control time, 30 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Michael Morales | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 280 | 217 |
| Activity ELO | 1 173 | 1 404 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Michael Morales demonstrated standard activity with 280 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Michael Morales capitalized on this activity level, while Neil Magny's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Michael Morales | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 167 | 1 210 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -28 |
Michael Morales continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Neil Magny's now at 0.
| Metric | Michael Morales | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 113 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.