January 21, 2022
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Michael Morales | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 100 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +100 | -100 |
Michael Morales overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Trevin Giles.
| Metric | Michael Morales | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Michael Morales | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:06 | 4:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 127 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +127 | -59 |
Michael Morales earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Michael Morales | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 42 | 15 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 144 | 936 |
| ELO Change | +144 | -144 |
Michael Morales controlled the striking exchanges with 28 vs 8 total strikes, 26 vs 8 significant strikes, 61.9% vs 53.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Michael Morales capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Michael Morales | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:05 | 1:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 033 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Michael Morales landed 1 knockdown followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Michael Morales | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 197 |
| Activity ELO | 1 026 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Michael Morales demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Michael Morales capitalized on this activity level, while Trevin Giles's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Michael Morales | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 027 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -25 |
Michael Morales started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Trevin Giles is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Michael Morales | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.