February 1, 2025
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Michael Page | Shara Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 184 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -37 |
Michael Page overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Shara Magomedov.
| Metric | Michael Page | Shara Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Michael Page | Shara Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 131 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Michael Page earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Michael Page | Shara Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 75 | 87 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 079 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Michael Page slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 43 vs 38 significant strikes, 57.3% vs 43.7% accuracy. Michael Page capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Michael Page | Shara Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:50 | 0:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 039 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Michael Page did not secure a significant ground advantage against Shara Magomedov on the ground with 0:50 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Michael Page | Shara Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 218 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 071 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -32 |
Michael Page demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Michael Page capitalized on this activity level, while Shara Magomedov's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Michael Page | Shara Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 052 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -26 |
Michael Page started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shara Magomedov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Michael Page | Shara Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.