September 5, 2008
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Michael Patt | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 972 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Tim Boetsch's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tim Boetsch for the expected result. Had Michael Patt pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Michael Patt | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Michael Patt | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:03 | 2:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 965 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +79 |
Tim Boetsch earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:03, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Michael Patt | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 21 | 31 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 907 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -93 | +93 |
Tim Boetsch controlled the striking exchanges with 15 vs 9 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tim Boetsch capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Michael Patt | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 949 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Tim Boetsch landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Michael Patt | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 157 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +36 |
Tim Boetsch demonstrated solid activity levels with 157 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tim Boetsch capitalized on this activity level, while Michael Patt's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Michael Patt | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Tim Boetsch started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michael Patt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Michael Patt | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

