Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Modestas Bukauskas

March 26, 2021

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1075
(+19)
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Winner: Michal Oleksiejczuk
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Michal Oleksiejczuk+19
Modestas Bukauskas-19
987
(-19)
Modestas Bukauskas

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Michal Oleksiejczuk: +28Modestas Bukauskas: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricMichal OleksiejczukModestas Bukauskas
Total UFC Fights63
Experience Gap3-3
Experience ELO1 068972
ELO Change+28-28
💡

What Happened

Michal Oleksiejczuk's 3-fight experience advantage (6 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michal Oleksiejczuk for the expected result. Had Modestas Bukauskas pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Michal Oleksiejczuk: +21Modestas Bukauskas: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMichal OleksiejczukModestas Bukauskas
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 023980
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Michal Oleksiejczuk: +7Modestas Bukauskas: -7

Performance Statistics

MetricMichal OleksiejczukModestas Bukauskas
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1831 059
ELO Change+7-7
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Michal Oleksiejczuk receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Michal Oleksiejczuk: +12Modestas Bukauskas: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricMichal OleksiejczukModestas Bukauskas
Significant Strikes Landed5658
Significant Strikes Attempted122167
Total Strikes Landed7762
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 179959
ELO Change+12-12
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What Happened

Michal Oleksiejczuk edged the striking exchanges with 45.9% vs 34.7% accuracy. Michal Oleksiejczuk capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Michal Oleksiejczuk: +26Modestas Bukauskas: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricMichal OleksiejczukModestas Bukauskas
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted21
Ground Control Time1:090:04
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO981972
ELO Change+26-26
💡

What Happened

Michal Oleksiejczuk did not secure a significant ground advantage against Modestas Bukauskas on the ground with 1:09 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Michal Oleksiejczuk: +14Modestas Bukauskas: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricMichal OleksiejczukModestas Bukauskas
Days Since Last Fight399162
Activity ELO1 113991
ELO Change+14-16
💡

What Happened

Michal Oleksiejczuk demonstrated extended layoff with 399 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Michal Oleksiejczuk capitalized on this activity level, while Modestas Bukauskas's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Michal Oleksiejczuk: +23Modestas Bukauskas: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMichal OleksiejczukModestas Bukauskas
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 033983
ELO Change+23-21
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What Happened

Michal Oleksiejczuk started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Modestas Bukauskas is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Michal Oleksiejczuk: +21Modestas Bukauskas: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMichal OleksiejczukModestas Bukauskas
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 022980
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.