Michel Pereira vs Tristan Connelly

September 13, 2019

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1017
(-44)
Michel Pereira
Winner: Tristan Connelly
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Michel Pereira-44
Tristan Connelly+44
1044
(+44)
Tristan Connelly

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Pereira: -82Tristan Connelly: +82

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel PereiraTristan Connelly
Total UFC Fights21
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO1 0101 082
ELO Change-82+82
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Pereira: -22Tristan Connelly: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel PereiraTristan Connelly
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0011 022
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Pereira: -58Tristan Connelly: +58

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel PereiraTristan Connelly
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0781 058
ELO Change-58+58
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What Happened

Tristan Connelly earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Pereira: -60Tristan Connelly: +60

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel PereiraTristan Connelly
Significant Strikes Landed3264
Significant Strikes Attempted75125
Total Strikes Landed56151
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0761 060
ELO Change-60+60
💡

What Happened

Tristan Connelly dominated the striking exchanges with 151 vs 56 total strikes, 64 vs 32 significant strikes, 51.2% vs 42.7% accuracy. Tristan Connelly capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Pereira: -62Tristan Connelly: +62

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel PereiraTristan Connelly
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted56
Ground Control Time3:035:43
Ground Strikes Landed027
Ground ELO9621 062
ELO Change-62+62
💡

What Happened

Tristan Connelly controlled Michel Pereira on the ground with 0 takedowns, 5:43 of control time, 27 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Pereira: -23Tristan Connelly: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel PereiraTristan Connelly
Days Since Last Fight119N/A
Activity ELO1 0031 023
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Tristan Connelly demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Tristan Connelly capitalized on this activity level, while Michel Pereira's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Pereira: -23Tristan Connelly: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel PereiraTristan Connelly
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0031 025
ELO Change-23+25
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What Happened

Tristan Connelly started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michel Pereira is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Pereira: -22Tristan Connelly: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel PereiraTristan Connelly
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0011 022
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.