September 13, 2019
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Michel Pereira | Tristan Connelly |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 010 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -82 | +82 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Michel Pereira | Tristan Connelly |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Michel Pereira | Tristan Connelly |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 078 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Tristan Connelly earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Michel Pereira | Tristan Connelly |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 64 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 75 | 125 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 151 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 076 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Tristan Connelly dominated the striking exchanges with 151 vs 56 total strikes, 64 vs 32 significant strikes, 51.2% vs 42.7% accuracy. Tristan Connelly capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Michel Pereira | Tristan Connelly |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:03 | 5:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 27 |
| Ground ELO | 962 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Tristan Connelly controlled Michel Pereira on the ground with 0 takedowns, 5:43 of control time, 27 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Michel Pereira | Tristan Connelly |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 003 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Tristan Connelly demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Tristan Connelly capitalized on this activity level, while Michel Pereira's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Michel Pereira | Tristan Connelly |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Tristan Connelly started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michel Pereira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Michel Pereira | Tristan Connelly |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

