June 25, 2021
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Michel Prazeres | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 059 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +47 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Michel Prazeres.
| Metric | Michel Prazeres | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 092 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Michel Prazeres | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:10 | 2:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 159 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +83 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:10, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Michel Prazeres was submitted.
| Metric | Michel Prazeres | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 32 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 151 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -69 | +69 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 32 total strikes, 21 vs 6 significant strikes, 60.0% vs 42.9% accuracy. Shavkat Rakhmonov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Michel Prazeres | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:58 | 3:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 193 | 1 290 |
| ELO Change | -227 | +227 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov dominated Michel Prazeres on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:25 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Michel Prazeres | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 854 | 245 |
| Activity ELO | 1 199 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +40 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Shavkat Rakhmonov capitalized on this activity level, while Michel Prazeres's 854-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Michel Prazeres | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 192 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +38 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michel Prazeres is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Michel Prazeres | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 092 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.