Michel Prazeres vs Valmir Lazaro

November 20, 2015

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1035
(+21)
Michel Prazeres
Winner: Michel Prazeres
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Michel Prazeres+21
Valmir Lazaro-21
981
(-21)
Valmir Lazaro

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Prazeres: +33Valmir Lazaro: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel PrazeresValmir Lazaro
Total UFC Fights53
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 048994
ELO Change+33-33
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What Happened

Michel Prazeres's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michel Prazeres for the expected result. Had Valmir Lazaro pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Prazeres: +21Valmir Lazaro: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel PrazeresValmir Lazaro
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 023981
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Prazeres: +10Valmir Lazaro: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel PrazeresValmir Lazaro
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO997976
ELO Change+10-10
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Michel Prazeres receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Prazeres: +20Valmir Lazaro: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel PrazeresValmir Lazaro
Significant Strikes Landed2041
Significant Strikes Attempted53102
Total Strikes Landed2760
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 021957
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Valmir Lazaro controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (60 vs 27 total strikes), significant strike advantage (41 vs 20). However, since Valmir Lazaro lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Michel Prazeres's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Prazeres: +23Valmir Lazaro: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel PrazeresValmir Lazaro
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted140
Ground Control Time2:013:29
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 079984
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

Michel Prazeres did not secure a significant ground advantage against Valmir Lazaro on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:01 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Prazeres: +19Valmir Lazaro: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel PrazeresValmir Lazaro
Days Since Last Fight280266
Activity ELO1 054990
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

Michel Prazeres demonstrated standard activity with 280 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Michel Prazeres capitalized on this activity level, while Valmir Lazaro's 266-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Prazeres: +23Valmir Lazaro: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel PrazeresValmir Lazaro
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 033985
ELO Change+23-21
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What Happened

Michel Prazeres started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Valmir Lazaro is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Prazeres: +21Valmir Lazaro: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel PrazeresValmir Lazaro
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 023981
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.