May 18, 2018
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Michel Prazeres | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 201 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Michel Prazeres's 2-fight experience advantage (11 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michel Prazeres for the expected result. Had Zak Cummings pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Michel Prazeres | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 130 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Michel Prazeres | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 225 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Michel Prazeres receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Michel Prazeres | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 76 | 92 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 32 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 226 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Zak Cummings controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (62 vs 32 total strikes). However, since Zak Cummings lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Michel Prazeres's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Michel Prazeres | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:44 | 2:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 393 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Michel Prazeres edged out Zak Cummings on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 2:44 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Michel Prazeres | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 399 |
| Activity ELO | 1 252 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -16 |
Michel Prazeres demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Michel Prazeres capitalized on this activity level, while Zak Cummings's 399-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Michel Prazeres | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 7 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 214 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -16 |
Michel Prazeres continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Zak Cummings's now at 0.
| Metric | Michel Prazeres | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 130 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

