Michel Quinones vs Sage Northcutt

November 10, 2017

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

936
(-22)
Michel Quinones
Winner: Sage Northcutt
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Michel Quinones-22
Sage Northcutt+22
1060
(+22)
Sage Northcutt

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Quinones: -24Sage Northcutt: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel QuinonesSage Northcutt
Total UFC Fights26
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO9551 088
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sage Northcutt for the expected result. Had Michel Quinones pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Quinones: -19Sage Northcutt: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel QuinonesSage Northcutt
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9601 035
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Quinones: -27Sage Northcutt: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel QuinonesSage Northcutt
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9311 119
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Quinones: -16Sage Northcutt: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel QuinonesSage Northcutt
Significant Strikes Landed5579
Significant Strikes Attempted161161
Total Strikes Landed5582
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO8851 103
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt controlled the striking exchanges with 82 vs 55 total strikes, 79 vs 55 significant strikes, 49.1% vs 34.2% accuracy. Sage Northcutt capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Quinones: -38Sage Northcutt: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel QuinonesSage Northcutt
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted05
Ground Control Time0:000:43
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO875977
ELO Change-38+38
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt edged out Michel Quinones on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 0:43 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Quinones: -16Sage Northcutt: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel QuinonesSage Northcutt
Days Since Last Fight140329
Activity ELO9631 080
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt demonstrated standard activity with 329 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Sage Northcutt capitalized on this activity level, while Michel Quinones's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Quinones: -18Sage Northcutt: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel QuinonesSage Northcutt
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9611 042
ELO Change-18+20
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michel Quinones is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Michel Quinones: -19Sage Northcutt: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricMichel QuinonesSage Northcutt
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9601 035
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.