December 16, 2016
Women's Strawweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 103 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -33 |
Michelle Waterson-Gomez overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Paige VanZant.
| Metric | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:21 | 3:21 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 149 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | +94 | -57 |
Michelle Waterson-Gomez earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:21, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 102 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Michelle Waterson-Gomez slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 12 vs 5 significant strikes, 70.6% vs 41.7% accuracy. Michelle Waterson-Gomez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:47 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 159 | 889 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Michelle Waterson-Gomez controlled Paige VanZant on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:47 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 525 | 113 |
| Activity ELO | 1 043 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -26 |
Michelle Waterson-Gomez demonstrated extended layoff with 525 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Michelle Waterson-Gomez capitalized on this activity level, while Paige VanZant's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 051 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -24 |
Michelle Waterson-Gomez extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paige VanZant is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.