September 23, 2016
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Michinori Tanaka | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 039 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Rani Yahya's 7-fight experience advantage (11 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rani Yahya for the expected result. Had Michinori Tanaka pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Michinori Tanaka | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Michinori Tanaka | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 029 | 1 224 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Rani Yahya earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Michinori Tanaka | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 34 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 121 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 049 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Michinori Tanaka controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (121 vs 19 total strikes), significant strike advantage (20 vs 10). However, since Michinori Tanaka lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rani Yahya's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Michinori Tanaka | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 7 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:54 | 7:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 098 | 1 303 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Rani Yahya controlled Michinori Tanaka on the ground with 7 vs 1 takedowns, 7:03 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Michinori Tanaka | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 266 | 73 |
| Activity ELO | 1 004 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +47 |
Rani Yahya demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 73 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Rani Yahya capitalized on this activity level, while Michinori Tanaka's 266-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Michinori Tanaka | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 009 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +23 |
Rani Yahya extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michinori Tanaka is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Michinori Tanaka | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.