October 23, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mickael Lebout | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 990 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Mickael Lebout | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 983 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mickael Lebout | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 989 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Stevie Ray earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Mickael Lebout | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 139 | 150 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 53 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 985 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Stevie Ray controlled the striking exchanges with 53 vs 29 total strikes, 48 vs 27 significant strikes, 32.0% vs 19.4% accuracy. Stevie Ray capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mickael Lebout | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:47 | 0:46 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 969 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Stevie Ray controlled Mickael Lebout on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:46 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Mickael Lebout | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 018 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +48 |
Stevie Ray demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Stevie Ray capitalized on this activity level, while Mickael Lebout's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mickael Lebout | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Stevie Ray extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mickael Lebout is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mickael Lebout | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.