November 3, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mickey Gall | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 057 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Randy Brown's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Randy Brown for the expected result. Had Mickey Gall pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mickey Gall | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mickey Gall | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 152 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Randy Brown earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Mickey Gall | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 16 | 70 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 57 | 60 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 130 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Randy Brown controlled the striking exchanges with 41 vs 7 significant strikes, 58.6% vs 43.8% accuracy. Randy Brown capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mickey Gall | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:25 | 8:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 30 |
| Ground ELO | 1 127 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -102 | +102 |
Randy Brown controlled Mickey Gall on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 8:48 of control time, 30 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Mickey Gall | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 322 | 266 |
| Activity ELO | 1 082 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Randy Brown demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Randy Brown capitalized on this activity level, while Mickey Gall's 322-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mickey Gall | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Randy Brown started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mickey Gall is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mickey Gall | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

