December 16, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mickey Gall | Sage Northcutt |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 092 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -36 |
Mickey Gall overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Sage Northcutt.
| Metric | Mickey Gall | Sage Northcutt |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mickey Gall | Sage Northcutt |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:40 | 1:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 208 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -40 |
Mickey Gall earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:40, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Sage Northcutt was submitted.
| Metric | Mickey Gall | Sage Northcutt |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 23 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 22 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 190 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Sage Northcutt controlled the striking through 1 knockdown. However, since Sage Northcutt lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mickey Gall's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Mickey Gall | Sage Northcutt |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:25 | 1:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 229 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Mickey Gall controlled Sage Northcutt on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:25 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Mickey Gall | Sage Northcutt |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 99 | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 1 105 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -23 |
Mickey Gall demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mickey Gall capitalized on this activity level, while Sage Northcutt's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mickey Gall | Sage Northcutt |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 074 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Mickey Gall extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sage Northcutt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mickey Gall | Sage Northcutt |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.