Miguel Baeza vs Santiago Ponzinibbio

June 4, 2021

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1139
(-19)
Miguel Baeza
Winner: Santiago Ponzinibbio
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Miguel Baeza-19
Santiago Ponzinibbio+20
1272
(+20)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Miguel Baeza: -28Santiago Ponzinibbio: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricMiguel BaezaSantiago Ponzinibbio
Total UFC Fights413
Experience Gap-99
Experience ELO1 1591 256
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

Santiago Ponzinibbio's 9-fight experience advantage (13 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Santiago Ponzinibbio for the expected result. Had Miguel Baeza pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Miguel Baeza: -17Santiago Ponzinibbio: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricMiguel BaezaSantiago Ponzinibbio
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0481 141
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Miguel Baeza: -22Santiago Ponzinibbio: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricMiguel BaezaSantiago Ponzinibbio
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2561 479
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

Santiago Ponzinibbio earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Miguel Baeza: -21Santiago Ponzinibbio: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMiguel BaezaSantiago Ponzinibbio
Significant Strikes Landed104121
Significant Strikes Attempted249270
Total Strikes Landed104122
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2661 361
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Santiago Ponzinibbio controlled the striking exchanges with 121 vs 104 significant strikes. Santiago Ponzinibbio capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Miguel Baeza: -19Santiago Ponzinibbio: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricMiguel BaezaSantiago Ponzinibbio
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:000:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1951 273
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Miguel Baeza: -12Santiago Ponzinibbio: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricMiguel BaezaSantiago Ponzinibbio
Days Since Last Fight189140
Activity ELO1 0751 275
ELO Change-12+23
💡

What Happened

Santiago Ponzinibbio demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Santiago Ponzinibbio capitalized on this activity level, while Miguel Baeza's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Miguel Baeza: -12Santiago Ponzinibbio: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricMiguel BaezaSantiago Ponzinibbio
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0691 248
ELO Change-12+14
💡

What Happened

Santiago Ponzinibbio started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Miguel Baeza is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Miguel Baeza: -17Santiago Ponzinibbio: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricMiguel BaezaSantiago Ponzinibbio
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0471 141
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.