Mike Breeden vs Natan Levy

April 29, 2022

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

944
(-35)
Mike Breeden
Winner: Natan Levy
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Mike Breeden-35
Natan Levy+39
999
(+39)
Natan Levy

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Breeden: -22Natan Levy: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricMike BreedenNatan Levy
Total UFC Fights22
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO962997
ELO Change-22+33
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Breeden: -21Natan Levy: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMike BreedenNatan Levy
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO960998
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Breeden: -46Natan Levy: +46

Performance Statistics

MetricMike BreedenNatan Levy
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO938998
ELO Change-46+46
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What Happened

Natan Levy earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Breeden: -19Natan Levy: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricMike BreedenNatan Levy
Significant Strikes Landed10492
Significant Strikes Attempted210141
Total Strikes Landed11599
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO925994
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

Mike Breeden controlled the striking through superior volume (115 vs 99 total strikes), significant strike advantage (104 vs 92), superior accuracy (49.5% vs 65.2%). However, since Mike Breeden lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Natan Levy's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Breeden: -111Natan Levy: +111

Performance Statistics

MetricMike BreedenNatan Levy
Takedowns Landed39
Takedowns Attempted416
Ground Control Time1:563:39
Ground Strikes Landed28
Ground ELO878994
ELO Change-111+111
💡

What Happened

Natan Levy dominated Mike Breeden on the ground with 9 vs 3 takedowns, 3:39 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Breeden: -22Natan Levy: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricMike BreedenNatan Levy
Days Since Last Fight210161
Activity ELO9641 015
ELO Change-22+38
💡

What Happened

Natan Levy demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Natan Levy capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Breeden's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Breeden: -21Natan Levy: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricMike BreedenNatan Levy
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9621 000
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Natan Levy started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Breeden is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Breeden: -21Natan Levy: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMike BreedenNatan Levy
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO960998
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.