October 11, 2019
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mike Davis | Thomas Gifford |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 010 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Mike Davis | Thomas Gifford |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 004 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mike Davis | Thomas Gifford |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:45 | 4:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 063 | 925 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -40 |
Mike Davis gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Mike Davis | Thomas Gifford |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 139 | 88 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 222 | 242 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 141 | 89 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 099 | 843 |
| ELO Change | +129 | -129 |
Mike Davis dominated the striking exchanges with 141 vs 89 total strikes, 139 vs 88 significant strikes, 62.6% vs 36.4% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Mike Davis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mike Davis | Thomas Gifford |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:56 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 24 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 001 | 859 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Mike Davis controlled Thomas Gifford on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:56 of control time, 24 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Mike Davis | Thomas Gifford |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 023 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -21 |
Mike Davis demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mike Davis capitalized on this activity level, while Thomas Gifford's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mike Davis | Thomas Gifford |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 007 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Mike Davis started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thomas Gifford is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mike Davis | Thomas Gifford |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 004 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

