July 24, 2020
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mike Grundy | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 046 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Mike Grundy | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mike Grundy | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 062 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Movsar Evloev earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Mike Grundy | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 79 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 66 | 150 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 96 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 047 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Movsar Evloev dominated the striking exchanges with 96 vs 25 total strikes, 79 vs 20 significant strikes, 52.7% vs 30.3% accuracy. Movsar Evloev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mike Grundy | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 15 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:35 | 0:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 070 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Movsar Evloev did not secure a significant ground advantage against Mike Grundy on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:48 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Mike Grundy | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 497 | 273 |
| Activity ELO | 1 006 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Movsar Evloev demonstrated standard activity with 273 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Movsar Evloev capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Grundy's 497-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mike Grundy | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 007 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Movsar Evloev extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Grundy is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mike Grundy | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.