Mike Guymon vs Rory MacDonald

January 10, 2010

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

968
(-32)
Mike Guymon
Winner: Rory MacDonald
Submission
Round 1 • 4:27

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Mike Guymon-32
Rory MacDonald+36
1036
(+36)
Rory MacDonald

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Guymon: -21Rory MacDonald: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMike GuymonRory MacDonald
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Guymon: -21Rory MacDonald: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMike GuymonRory MacDonald
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Guymon: -42Rory MacDonald: +69

Performance Statistics

MetricMike GuymonRory MacDonald
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:274:27
Win Type ELO9581 069
ELO Change-42+69
💡

What Happened

Rory MacDonald earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:27, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Guymon: -32Rory MacDonald: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricMike GuymonRory MacDonald
Significant Strikes Landed68
Significant Strikes Attempted1819
Total Strikes Landed1423
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9681 032
ELO Change-32+32
💡

What Happened

Rory MacDonald slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 42.1% vs 33.3% accuracy. Rory MacDonald capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Guymon: -79Rory MacDonald: +79

Performance Statistics

MetricMike GuymonRory MacDonald
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted33
Ground Control Time0:082:50
Ground Strikes Landed32
Ground ELO9211 079
ELO Change-79+79
💡

What Happened

Rory MacDonald controlled Mike Guymon on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:50 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Guymon: -21Rory MacDonald: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMike GuymonRory MacDonald
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Rory MacDonald demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Rory MacDonald capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Guymon's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Guymon: -21Rory MacDonald: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricMike GuymonRory MacDonald
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 023
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Rory MacDonald started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Guymon is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Guymon: -21Rory MacDonald: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMike GuymonRory MacDonald
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.