January 19, 2024
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mike Malott | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 32 |
| Experience Gap | -28 | 28 |
| Experience ELO | 1 121 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Neil Magny's 28-fight experience advantage (32 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Neil Magny for the expected result. Had Mike Malott pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mike Malott | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 046 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mike Malott | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:45 | 4:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 192 | 1 425 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +47 |
Neil Magny gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Mike Malott | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 57 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 67 | 102 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 100 | 110 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 160 | 1 349 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Neil Magny edged the striking exchanges with 57 vs 45 significant strikes, 55.9% vs 67.2% accuracy. Neil Magny capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mike Malott | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:02 | 1:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 44 |
| Ground ELO | 1 129 | 1 234 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Neil Magny slightly outworked Mike Malott on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:47 of control time, 44 ground strikes, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Mike Malott | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 090 | 1 440 |
| ELO Change | -5 | +9 |
Neil Magny demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Neil Magny capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Malott's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mike Malott | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 061 | 1 238 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +14 |
Neil Magny started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Malott is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mike Malott | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 046 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.