January 13, 2012
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mike Massenzio | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 989 | 1 179 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Rousimar Palhares's 3-fight experience advantage (9 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rousimar Palhares for the expected result. Had Mike Massenzio pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mike Massenzio | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 968 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mike Massenzio | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:03 | 1:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 013 | 1 327 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +28 |
Rousimar Palhares earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:03, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Mike Massenzio | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 8 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 839 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Rousimar Palhares slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 50.0% vs 0.0% accuracy. Rousimar Palhares capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mike Massenzio | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 921 | 1 257 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Mike Massenzio | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 99 | 141 |
| Activity ELO | 1 018 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +24 |
Rousimar Palhares demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rousimar Palhares capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Massenzio's 99-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mike Massenzio | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 975 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +19 |
Rousimar Palhares extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Massenzio is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mike Massenzio | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 968 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

