Mike Massenzio vs Rousimar Palhares

January 13, 2012

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

961
(-16)
Mike Massenzio
Winner: Rousimar Palhares
Submission
Round 1 • 1:03

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Mike Massenzio-16
Rousimar Palhares+20
1183
(+20)
Rousimar Palhares

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Massenzio: -18Rousimar Palhares: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricMike MassenzioRousimar Palhares
Total UFC Fights69
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO9891 179
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

Rousimar Palhares's 3-fight experience advantage (9 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rousimar Palhares for the expected result. Had Mike Massenzio pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Massenzio: -15Rousimar Palhares: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricMike MassenzioRousimar Palhares
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9681 099
ELO Change-15+15
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Massenzio: -15Rousimar Palhares: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricMike MassenzioRousimar Palhares
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:031:03
Win Type ELO1 0131 327
ELO Change-15+28
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What Happened

Rousimar Palhares earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:03, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Massenzio: -27Rousimar Palhares: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricMike MassenzioRousimar Palhares
Significant Strikes Landed04
Significant Strikes Attempted68
Total Strikes Landed04
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO8391 165
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Rousimar Palhares slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 50.0% vs 0.0% accuracy. Rousimar Palhares capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Massenzio: -12Rousimar Palhares: +12

Performance Statistics

MetricMike MassenzioRousimar Palhares
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:020:01
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9211 257
ELO Change-12+12
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Massenzio: -12Rousimar Palhares: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricMike MassenzioRousimar Palhares
Days Since Last Fight99141
Activity ELO1 0181 216
ELO Change-12+24
💡

What Happened

Rousimar Palhares demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rousimar Palhares capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Massenzio's 99-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Massenzio: -14Rousimar Palhares: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricMike MassenzioRousimar Palhares
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO9751 123
ELO Change-14+19
💡

What Happened

Rousimar Palhares extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Massenzio is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Massenzio: -15Rousimar Palhares: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricMike MassenzioRousimar Palhares
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9681 096
ELO Change-15+15
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.