December 15, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mike Perry | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 139 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio's 4-fight experience advantage (10 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Santiago Ponzinibbio for the expected result. Had Mike Perry pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mike Perry | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 046 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mike Perry | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 288 | 1 442 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Mike Perry | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 78 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 136 | 200 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 81 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 288 | 1 414 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +66 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio controlled the striking exchanges with 81 vs 51 total strikes, 78 vs 51 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Santiago Ponzinibbio capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mike Perry | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:29 | 1:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 1 068 | 1 297 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Mike Perry | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 92 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 175 | 1 248 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +35 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Santiago Ponzinibbio capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Perry's 92-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mike Perry | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 064 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +40 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Mike Perry's now at 0.
| Metric | Mike Perry | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 046 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

