November 20, 2020
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mike Perry | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 23 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 101 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Tim Means's 9-fight experience advantage (23 vs 14 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tim Means for the expected result. Had Mike Perry pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mike Perry | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mike Perry | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 224 | 1 287 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Tim Means earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Mike Perry | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 64 | 128 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 161 | 192 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 69 | 143 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 137 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Tim Means dominated the striking exchanges with 143 vs 69 total strikes, 128 vs 64 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 39.8% accuracy. Tim Means capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mike Perry | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:08 | 0:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 162 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Tim Means did not secure a significant ground advantage against Mike Perry on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:39 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Mike Perry | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 1 197 | 1 257 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +55 |
Tim Means demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tim Means capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Perry's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mike Perry | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 054 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Tim Means extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Perry is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mike Perry | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

